Red Label Intelligence
Counterparty intelligence, country risk, and bespoke investigations for institutions that cannot afford to be wrong.
For corporate development, mid-market private equity, international family offices, and cross-border legal teams. AI-accelerated collection plus human analytical judgment. Institutional methodology. Engagements scoped to your decision.
Aaron Trubic leads the practice. His book The Shape of Outcomes (Red Label Press) traces five documented failures of unstated priors. About · Amazon
How We Work
We collect at machine speed and assess at human depth.
Our OSINT collection systems monitor corporate registries, litigation databases, regulatory filings, sanctions lists, and media sources across 100+ jurisdictions continuously. When you commission a report, the technology assembles a structured evidence base in hours. Then our analysts do what technology cannot: identify what the patterns mean, reconcile conflicting sources, evaluate gaps in the record, and produce an assessment you can act on.
Every report shows its work. Sources are tiered: T1 verified primary records, T2 corroborated by multiple independent sources, T3 single-source, T4 unattributed. Confidence levels are explicit on every finding. We distinguish between verified facts, corroborated assessments, and analytical judgments. When sources conflict, we show how we reconciled them. When records are missing, we say so.
Services
Seven report and engagement types. Each has a dedicated page with sample work where publication allows.
Featured engagement · supporting grid
Home
Additional delivery types
Competitive Intelligence & Landscape
Market Opportunity Reports
Custom Strategic Engagements
Full services hub · Discuss an engagement · Methodology
Audience. Corporate development at mid-market companies, mid-market private equity with international portfolios, single and multi-family offices with offshore exposure, law firms running cross-border M&A and enforcement defense.
Geography. Deep coverage in Europe, Middle East and North Africa, and Asia. Extended reach through specialist partners across 50+ jurisdictions. We state where our network is native and where we would bring regional partners in.
Sample work
Counterparty
Whitfield-style counterparty layout
Structured exhibit and screening discipline.
Diligence
PEP and sanctions diligence
Deliverable standards and scope. Full sample on request.
Landscape
AI vendor concentration
Published competitive landscape analysis.
Market
Market opportunity (sample)
Opportunity framing and risk callouts.
Alert
Balikatan 2026
Alert-grade narrative with maps and sourcing table.
Special report
SR1 regulatory atlas
Crypto and fiat frameworks across 195 jurisdictions.
Global Crypto & Fiat Regulatory Frameworks
Reference atlas for tax reporting stacks, AML, and licensing across 195 jurisdictions. Monthly refresh. Interactive compliance map inside the full report.
Standards
Source Tiers
Every claim links to a tiered source (T1 verified primary, T2 corroborated, T3 single-source, T4 unattributed). Complete source index in every report. When sources conflict, we show how we reconciled them.
Confidence Levels
Explicit High/Medium/Low per finding. No unrated assertions. You know what we're certain about versus what we're inferring.
Fact vs Judgment
Verified facts (court records, filings, public registries), corroborated assessments (multiple independent sources), analytical judgments (inference). Labeled in the report.
Gaps Documented
What we couldn't find and why it matters. Missing records, sealed documents, opaque jurisdictions. Stated explicitly, not buried.
Current as of Delivery
Verified against latest filings at delivery. We note when refresh is recommended. Intelligence has a shelf life.
Decision-Ready
Every briefing and report ends with: hold, exit, or wait; conditions to monitor; follow-up if X happens. No open-ended conclusions.
Need-to-Know
Strict compartmentalization. No retention beyond agreed terms. Your portfolio data and counterparty names are not shared across engagements.
No Conflicts
We decline engagements where independence would be compromised. Disclosed if circumstances change during engagement.
Methodology
How we differ from decks and data dumps
The methodology page explains discipline, competitor categories at the high end of the market, and how client deliverables connect to the analytical spine in The Shape of Outcomes.
Read methodologyResearch notes
Chubby Tails
Public research notes on Substack. Not client work. Shows cadence and how arguments are built. The firm site routes you to Substack to read and subscribe.
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Contact
Start a conversation
Initial consultations are confidential and without obligation. Fees follow scope.